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    An Analysis of the Effects of Geopolitical Risks on Stock Returns and Exchange Rates Using a Nonparametric Method
    (2021) Şahin, Eyyüp Ensari; Arslan, Halil
    This study explores whether there is a causal effect of geopolitical risk on stock returns and exchange rate return and volatility using Nonparametric Causality-In-Quantiles Test approach. Analysis was conducted on several quantiles based on the monthly Geopolitical Risk Index, Stock Market Index and USD/National Currency data obtained from 18 developing countries for which Geopolitical Risk information was readily available. According to the results, geopolitical risks affect stock and exchange rate returns in approximately half of the countries included in this study, while such risks have a significant effect on stock market and exchange rate volatility of all the countries in the sample.